Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between FC Cajamarca and Club Alianza Lima, scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Cajamarca | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Club Alianza Lima | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Cajamarca will host Club Alianza Lima in Peru's Liga 1 on 31 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating the market has priced in an outcome with near-complete certainty at present liquidity levels.
Halftime markets in Peruvian football typically settle with modest volatility relative to full-match outcomes, as the first half provides limited time for tactical adjustments and momentum shifts. Alianza Lima, historically one of Peru's strongest sides, generally maintains competitive halftime positions against lower-ranked opponents. Cajamarca's home advantage carries marginal significance in Liga 1 play; recent seasons show home teams secure halftime leads or draws in approximately 60–65% of matches against mid-table sides. The extreme probability reading suggests either substantial backing for a specific halftime result or minimal order book depth at current price levels.
Key variables for traders include team selection announcements and injury status, typically confirmed 24–48 hours before kickoff. Weather conditions in Cajamarca's high-altitude stadium (approximately 2,750 metres) can affect early-game pace and fatigue patterns. Alianza Lima's recent form and fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 31 May will influence their approach to the opening 45 minutes. Monitor official Peru Liga 1 communications for any schedule changes or postponements, which remain possible given the fixture's timing relative to other domestic and regional commitments.
Fútbol Club Cajamarca, commonly known as FC Cajamarca or Cajamarca, is a Peruvian football club based in the city of Cajamarca, Peru. It was founded in 2023 and participates in the Liga 1, the top tier of the Peruvian football league system.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Cajamarca vs. Club Alianza Lima - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$552 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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