Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, May 17, 2026 between CD Garcilaso and CU Técnica de Cajamarca.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Garcilaso | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Draw (CD Garcilaso vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca) | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| CU Técnica de Cajamarca | 33% YES | 68% NO |
CD Garcilaso will travel to face CU Técnica de Cajamarca in Peru's Liga 1 on Sunday, 17 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES outcome (Garcilaso victory) at 47%, reflecting near-parity between the two sides. Settlement occurs at 18:15 UTC on match day, allowing for live-market repricing as team news and conditions become clearer.
Garcilaso, based in Cusco, typically competes in the upper half of Liga 1 and has historically held an advantage over Técnica de Cajamarca in direct matchups. However, Técnica de Cajamarca has shown competitive improvement in recent seasons and performs respectably at home. The 47% probability suggests the market views this as a genuinely competitive fixture rather than a clear favourite scenario, consistent with mid-table Liga 1 contests where home advantage and current form carry substantial weight.
Key variables for traders include confirmed team lineups, injury status of key players, and recent domestic form heading into mid-May. Weather conditions in Cajamarca's high-altitude venue (approximately 2,700 metres) can affect play style and fatigue profiles. Any late announcements regarding squad rotation—particularly if either side has concurrent Copa Sudamericana or other fixture congestion—may shift the probability materially in the final hours before kickoff. Monitor Liga 1 official communications and local Peruvian sports outlets for tactical or personnel updates.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Garcilaso vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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