Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NWSL game between Seattle Reign FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Seattle Reign FC vs. NJ/NY Gotham FC match originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Seattle Reign FC will face NJ/NY Gotham FC in an NWSL regular-season match on 15 May 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The market prices the probability of a specific exact scoreline at 49% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting significant uncertainty about the final result. Settlement depends on the score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score."
Historical NWSL matches between these sides provide context for reading current pricing. Reign FC and Gotham FC have produced varied scorelines in recent seasons, with results ranging from low-scoring 1–0 contests to higher-scoring affairs. The 49% probability suggests traders are pricing in meaningful volatility around specific outcomes, with the order book reflecting divided opinion on whether the match will produce a listed exact score or fall into the catch-all category. This probability level typically indicates no single scoreline is heavily favoured.
Traders should monitor team news in the weeks before 15 May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation patterns as the NWSL season progresses. Fixture congestion, international call-ups, and recent form will influence both teams' attacking and defensive shape. Weather conditions at kickoff and any late tactical adjustments announced pre-match could shift the probability of specific scorelines. The settlement window closes 16 May at 02:00 UTC, allowing roughly four hours after the match conclusion for final confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Seattle Reign FC vs. NJ/NY Gotham FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $275 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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