Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Bay FC and Utah Royals FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bay FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Bay FC vs. Utah Royals FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Utah Royals FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Bay FC will face Utah Royals FC in an NWSL regular-season match on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, reflecting either minimal trading activity or a consensus that the event's resolution criteria are unlikely to be met as written. With settlement closing at 20:00 UTC on match day, traders have a defined window to assess team form, injury reports, and fixture context before the final whistle.
NWSL match outcomes historically show significant variance week to week, particularly in early-season fixtures where squad cohesion and fitness levels remain in flux. Bay FC and Utah Royals FC have competed in the league since its 2023 expansion, with both sides building rosters incrementally. The 0% reading on Polymarket's order book likely reflects either low liquidity in this particular market or uncertainty about the exact settlement criteria rather than a fundamental view that the match will not occur. Comparable NWSL fixtures on prediction markets typically see modest trading volumes unless tied to playoff implications or high-profile player availability.
Traders should monitor team news in the fortnight before 10 May, including squad announcements, injury updates, and any fixture rescheduling. Recent NWSL communications regarding the 2026 regular season will clarify scheduling certainty. International call-ups for concurrent tournaments could affect squad availability. The low current probability may shift materially once pre-match information becomes concrete and liquidity increases closer to kickoff.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bay FC vs. Utah Royals FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$137 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $137 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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