Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 10 at 8:30PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Spurs vs. Knicks | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Team to Score First | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% YES | 51% NO |
The San Antonio Spurs face the New York Knicks in an NBA matchup scheduled for 10 June at 8:30 PM ET, with settlement occurring shortly after the final whistle. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability for a Spurs victory, suggesting modest market confidence in San Antonio despite the Knicks' recent competitive form. This probability has been shaped by traders pricing in roster composition, recent performance metrics, and head-to-head dynamics as of market open.
Historical matchups between these franchises provide context for evaluating the current odds. The Spurs have maintained a winning record against the Knicks over the past five seasons, though New York has shown marked improvement under their current coaching staff. Recent games have been competitive, with margins typically falling within single digits. The 55% probability for San Antonio reflects their historical edge whilst acknowledging the Knicks' capacity to compete at a high level, particularly when playing at Madison Square Garden.
Traders should monitor roster availability in the days preceding the fixture, particularly regarding injury reports released by both teams. Schedule positioning matters—whether either side is fatigued from back-to-back fixtures or benefits from extended rest will influence performance. Weather conditions affecting travel and player conditioning, along with any late-breaking personnel changes, could shift the order book materially. The settlement window closes at 00:30 UTC on 11 June, allowing minimal time for post-game dispute resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Spurs vs. Knicks" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$82 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $82 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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