Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 216.5 | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| 1H Moneyline | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5 | 38% YES | 63% NO |
The San Antonio Spurs face the Minnesota Timberwolves in an NBA matchup scheduled for 10 May at 7:30PM ET. The Polymarket order book currently reflects a 65% implied probability favouring a Spurs victory, with settlement occurring at 23:30 UTC on the same date. This probability incorporates real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, where traders are pricing in relative team strength, recent form, and contextual factors surrounding the fixture.
The current odds sit notably above historical benchmarks for comparable regular-season NBA games between teams of similar standing. Recent seasons show that home-court advantage typically commands a 3–5 percentage point premium in implied probabilities, whilst back-to-back fixtures and injury status can shift markets by 2–8 points. The Spurs' recent trajectory and roster composition relative to Minnesota's current depth chart will be critical reference points for assessing whether the 65% figure represents fair value or overextension.
Traders should monitor official injury reports released in the 48 hours preceding tip-off, as key player absences have historically moved comparable markets by 10–15 percentage points. Schedule congestion—particularly whether either team played the previous evening—remains a material catalyst. Any roster moves, coaching announcements, or unexpected postponements would trigger immediate repricing across Polymarket's order book. The settlement window's tight closure at 23:30 UTC means late-breaking developments carry outsized impact on final execution prices.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Spurs vs. Timberwolves" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$104K in lifetime turnover and $1.2M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $94K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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