Sports

Trade: New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC - Exact Score

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between New York City FC and D.C. United SC, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC match originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
—
Total Volume
$255
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$255
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Exact Score: 1-0 0% YES100% NO
Exact Score: 1-1 0% YES100% NO
Exact Score: 2-1 0% YES100% NO
Exact Score: 2-0 0% YES100% NO
Exact Score: 0-0 0% YES100% NO
Exact Score: 3-0 0% YES100% NO
Exact Score: 3-1 0% YES100% NO
Exact Score: 0-1 0% YES100% NO

Market context

New York City FC will face D.C. United SC on 3 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET in a regular-season Major League Soccer fixture. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any result not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The settlement window closes at 19:00 ET on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kick-off for confirmation of the final scoreline.

The 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting specific scorelines in football. Exact-score markets typically show minimal liquidity on individual outcomes because the probability mass distributes across numerous possibilities—MLS matches commonly produce 1–1, 2–1, or 2–0 results, yet no single scoreline commands significant backing. Historical data from comparable fixtures between these sides shows moderate goal-scoring patterns, with recent seasons averaging 2.3 goals per match in head-to-head encounters. The current pricing suggests traders are either awaiting team news before committing capital or treating the market as exploratory rather than a primary trading vehicle.

Key variables affecting the match include squad availability, recent form trajectories, and weather conditions on the day. NYCFC's injury status and D.C. United's defensive setup will influence expected goal output. Traders should monitor official team sheets released 24 hours before kick-off and any late-breaking roster announcements. Fixture congestion in the MLS schedule leading into early May may affect player fatigue levels, potentially suppressing total goals. The match's position in each team's seasonal campaign—early-season form is often volatile—adds uncertainty to scoreline predictions.

Wikipedia Context

  • New York City FC
    New York City FC

    New York City Football Club is an American professional soccer club based in New York City. The club competes in Major League Soccer (MLS) as a member of the Eastern Conference. New York City FC is owned by City Football Group, a subsidiary of the Abu Dhabi United Group, with minority stakes held by Yankee Global Enterprises and investor Marcelo Claure.

  • New York City FC II
    New York City FC II

    New York City FC II is an American professional soccer team based in New York City. It is the reserve team and minor league affiliate of New York City FC, and plays in MLS Next Pro, the third tier of the United States soccer league system.

  • Etihad Park (New York City)
    Etihad Park (New York City)

    Etihad Park is a soccer-specific stadium under construction in the Willets Point neighborhood of Queens, New York City. The stadium is the future home of New York City FC of Major League Soccer (MLS), who currently play home games at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx and Citi Field across the street from Etihad Park in Queens.

  • Hudson River Derby
    Hudson River Derby

    The Hudson River Derby, originally sometimes known as the New York derby, is the name given to the local derby between the two Major League Soccer (MLS) clubs based in the New York metropolitan area, the New York Red Bulls and New York City FC. The derby derives its name from the Hudson River, which passes between the home stadiums of the two clubs. First pl

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$255 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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