Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for May 23 at 9:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| FC Dallas (-1.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5) | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| FC Dallas (-2.5) | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 41% YES | 59% NO |
Colorado Rapids and FC Dallas will meet in an MLS regular-season fixture on 23 May at 9:30 PM ET, with settlement occurring shortly after the final whistle on 24 May. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 32% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in a relatively low likelihood of this particular resolution path relative to alternative market structures for the match.
Historically, MLS matches between these two Western Conference sides have shown competitive balance, though recent form carries weight in how traders calibrate probabilities. The Rapids have competed in the playoff picture in recent seasons, whilst Dallas has experienced more volatility in standings. When comparing similar "more markets" outcomes across MLS fixtures, traders typically anchor on fixture prominence—higher-profile matches tend to generate expanded market offerings—and on the timing of market creation relative to kickoff. The current 32% probability suggests moderate confidence that additional betting markets will be offered, rather than a baseline expectation.
Key variables include MLS scheduling announcements and any late team news affecting fixture status. Polymarket's order book depth will shift if either club reports significant injuries or if the league confirms the match proceeds as scheduled. The settlement window closing shortly after the match concludes means traders have limited time to react to real-time developments. Monitor official MLS communications and team injury reports through 23 May, as fixture postponements or cancellations would directly affect market resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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