Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Charlotte FC and FC Cincinnati.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Charlotte FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| FC Cincinnati | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Charlotte FC will host FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The match forms part of the regular season fixture calendar and will determine three points in the Eastern Conference standings. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating that traders are pricing either a draw or a Cincinnati victory as the only plausible results, or that liquidity constraints are limiting price discovery at the extremes.
Historical MLS regular-season matchups between expansion or mid-table clubs show considerable volatility in outcomes, with home-field advantage typically worth 0.3–0.5 goals in expected-value terms. Charlotte's performance trajectory since their 2022 entry into the league, alongside Cincinnati's competitive positioning in the conference, will shape how traders reassess the probability as the fixture approaches. Recent form, injury reports, and tactical adjustments in the weeks before 9 May will likely shift the order book substantially from its current extreme pricing.
Traders should monitor team news releases, official MLS injury bulletins, and coaching changes through early May. Weather conditions at Charlotte's venue and any fixture congestion affecting either side's rotation decisions may influence match dynamics. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on match day, allowing traders to adjust positions based on pre-match team sheets and final confirmation of squad availability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$156K in lifetime turnover and $650K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $155K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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