Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for May 9 at 9:07 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Guadalajara (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tigres de la UANL (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Guadalajara (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tigres de la UANL (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
CD Guadalajara and Tigres de la UANL will contest a Liga MX fixture on 9 May at 9:07 PM ET, with settlement occurring the following day. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating either extreme confidence in a particular outcome or minimal liquidity at current price levels. This settlement window closes 10 May at 01:07 UTC, allowing roughly 16 hours post-match for final confirmation.
Liga MX's competitive structure and recent form patterns provide context for interpreting such probabilities. Guadalajara and Tigres rank amongst Mexico's most established clubs; their head-to-head record and seasonal positioning typically produce competitive matches rather than one-sided affairs. Historical encounters between these sides rarely settle at extreme probability levels when trading is active, suggesting the current 100% reading may reflect thin order book depth rather than genuine market consensus. Comparable Liga MX markets on Polymarket have shown price movement once liquidity increases closer to kickoff.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury announcements and squad rotation decisions that Liga MX clubs often confirm 48–72 hours before fixtures. Fixture scheduling changes, whilst uncommon, remain possible given Mexican football's administrative patterns. The settlement mechanism itself depends on official Liga MX records and confirmation timelines, which typically resolve within hours of final whistle but occasionally require clarification on disciplinary or technical grounds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$72K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $67K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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