Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game between Raja Club Athletic and RS Berkane, scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Raja Club Athletic | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| RS Berkane | 54% YES | 47% NO |
Raja Club Athletic will host RS Berkane in a Morocco Botola Pro fixture on 3 June 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for a Raja home halftime result, indicating the market views both sides as evenly matched at the interval stage. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and represents the marginal price at which buyers and sellers are currently willing to transact.
Halftime markets in Moroccan domestic football have historically shown sensitivity to team possession patterns and early tactical setup rather than full-match dynamics. Raja Club Athletic, as Casablanca's traditional heavyweight, typically establishes territorial control early, though RS Berkane has demonstrated improved first-half discipline in recent seasons. Historical data from comparable Botola Pro derbies suggests halftime draws occur in roughly 35–40% of fixtures between evenly-ranked sides, with home advantage typically adding 8–12 percentage points to halftime win probability. The current 50–50 split suggests the market is pricing in either a competitive matchup or uncertainty around team selection.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports released in the 48 hours before kickoff, as both clubs' availability of key attacking or defensive personnel materially affects early-game tempo. Recent fixture congestion in the Botola Pro calendar may influence rotation decisions. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on 3 June, providing a narrow window for late information flow post-announcement but before the 21:00 GMT scheduled start.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Raja Club Athletic vs. RS Berkane - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $561 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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