Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for Monday, May 11, 2026 between OC Safi and FathUnionSport.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| OC Safi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (OC Safi vs. FathUnionSport) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| FathUnionSport | 0% YES | 100% NO |
On Monday, 11 May 2026, OC Safi will face FathUnionSport in a Moroccan Botola Pro fixture. The current order book on Polymarket prices OC Safi's victory at 36 per cent implied probability, reflecting modest confidence in an away result or draw. Settlement occurs at 16:00 UTC on the scheduled match date.
Botola Pro form sheets show OC Safi as a mid-table side with inconsistent away records; FathUnionSport operates from a smaller resource base but has demonstrated resilience in home matches. Historical Botola Pro data suggests that matches between clubs of comparable mid-tier standing typically settle near 40–45 per cent for the visiting team when accounting for home advantage. The current 36 per cent quote sits below that baseline, implying the market has incorporated either recent poor form from Safi, injury concerns, or relative strength shifts within FathUnionSport's squad.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Botola Pro communications through early May for confirmed lineups, suspension updates, or fixture postponements. Moroccan domestic football occasionally experiences scheduling adjustments due to continental competition calendars. Recent fixture congestion or travel fatigue affecting either side could shift the probability materially. Weather conditions in Morocco during May are generally stable, reducing weather-related settlement risk. The order book depth and spread will tighten as match day approaches, typically narrowing the gap between bid and ask prices in the final 48 hours.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "OC Safi vs. FathUnionSport" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $148K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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