Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and BNK FEARX in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against KT Rolster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
KT Rolster, one of the LCK's most decorated organisations, faces BNK FEARX in a best-of-three match during the league's opening rounds on 9 May at 04:00 ET. The fixture is a standard regular-season encounter in the 2026 LCK season. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 71% implied probability favouring KT Rolster, suggesting the market perceives a material skill gap between the two sides.
Historical context matters here. KT Rolster has consistently fielded competitive rosters across multiple seasons and maintains institutional infrastructure typical of an LCK franchise with sustained funding and player development. BNK FEARX, by contrast, operates as a newer or lower-resourced organisation within the league structure. In comparable matchups between established and emerging LCK teams during early-season rounds, the probability distribution typically ranges between 65–75% for the favoured side, depending on roster changes and preseason performance metrics. The current 71% sits within this historical band, suggesting the market is pricing in expected competitive imbalance without overweighting KT's advantage.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup announcements before the settlement window closes on 9 May at 14:00 ET. The match itself occurs at 04:00 ET, leaving a ten-hour window for resolution. Watch for official LCK communications regarding schedule changes, player injuries, or technical issues that could trigger the 7-day delay clause. Recent LCK broadcasts have proceeded without significant disruption, but early-season fixtures occasionally face minor scheduling adjustments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2.4M in lifetime turnover and $1.5M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2.2M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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