Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2? | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 17.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Karmine Corp face GIANTX in a League of Legends European Championship best-of-three match scheduled for 10 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 60% implied probability for a Karmine Corp victory, suggesting market participants view them as moderate favourites in this regular season fixture.
Karmine Corp have established themselves as a consistent mid-to-upper-tier LEC side, whilst GIANTX have historically occupied a more volatile competitive position. The 60% probability aligns with typical market pricing for matches between teams of differing calibre in the LEC regular season, where stronger rosters typically command 55–70% implied odds depending on recent form and roster stability. Historical resolution patterns in LEC markets show that scheduling delays beyond the initial window occur infrequently, though technical issues during live broadcasts have occasionally forced match rescheduling within the seven-day window outlined in the settlement criteria.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and injury reports in the week preceding the fixture, as mid-season substitutions or player absences can shift competitive balance substantially. The LEC's official schedule and any broadcast disruptions will be critical—matches that begin but remain unfinished due to technical faults typically resolve based on the winning condition stated in official LEC rulebooks rather than the 50-50 tie clause. Recent LEC fixtures have proceeded on schedule with minimal delays, suggesting the settlement window closure on 10 May at 19:00 UTC should accommodate standard match completion timelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lec. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.7M in lifetime turnover and $650K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.7M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lec. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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