Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga game between Sevilla FC and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Sevilla and Real Madrid meet on 17 May 2026 in what appears to be a late-season La Liga fixture. The market is pricing an exact final score at 8% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders view a single specific scoreline as unlikely relative to the dispersed probability mass across alternative outcomes. This reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting precise match results; even dominant teams rarely settle at identical scores with high frequency.
Historical precedent from La Liga encounters between these sides shows that exact scores cluster around narrow ranges rather than concentrating on any single result. Real Madrid's typical output in such matches—whether winning, drawing, or losing—rarely repeats the same scoreline twice across consecutive seasons. Sevilla's defensive record against top-six opposition further fragments probability across multiple plausible outcomes. The 8% figure aligns with standard market pricing for any single exact score in a competitive fixture, where the "Any Other Score" category typically captures 60–75% of total probability.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates in the weeks preceding the match, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Real Madrid's fixture congestion in May 2026 and Sevilla's league position at that stage will influence tactical approach and likely goal output. Weather conditions and pitch state on the day may also shift expected scoring patterns. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing bettors to adjust positions based on pre-match team sheets and confirmed lineups.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$123 in lifetime turnover and $34K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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