Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for May 9 at 8:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Elche CF (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Elche CF (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Deportivo Alavés (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Elche CF and Deportivo Alavés are scheduled to meet in La Liga on 9 May 2026 at 08:00 ET. This fixture represents a standard league match in Spain's top division, with settlement contingent on the availability of additional betting markets for the encounter. The 100% implied probability currently reflected on Polymarket's order book suggests traders are pricing near-certainty that supplementary markets will be offered for this fixture, though this reflects positioning rather than a guaranteed outcome.
La Liga matches of this profile—mid-to-late season encounters between mid-table clubs—have historically attracted secondary market offerings on major prediction platforms. Comparable fixtures from previous seasons show consistent availability of markets beyond the standard match result, including handicap lines and total goals. However, market availability depends on operator discretion and liquidity demand. The settlement window closes on 9 May at 12:00 UTC, providing a narrow window for resolution once the match concludes.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's own market listings in the days preceding the fixture, as well as any announcements from La Liga regarding fixture scheduling changes or postponements. Weather conditions or administrative issues could affect match timing. Additionally, broader platform activity around La Liga markets during this period will signal whether liquidity is concentrating on this matchday, which typically correlates with expanded market offerings. Current order book depth at 100% should be treated as a reflection of low trading volume rather than high conviction.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$230K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $203K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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