Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Jeju SK FC and FC Seoul.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Jeju SK FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Seoul | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Jeju SK FC will face FC Seoul in a K-League fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for the match occurring as scheduled, reflecting near-certainty among traders that the fixture will proceed without cancellation or postponement.
K-League matches have historically maintained robust scheduling reliability, with fixture postponements typically occurring only in cases of extreme weather, security concerns, or force majeure events. FC Seoul and Jeju SK FC have both demonstrated consistent participation records across recent seasons. The 100% probability reading suggests traders are pricing in minimal risk of disruption between now and the settlement window close on 9 May 2026, though this reflects current conditions rather than absolute certainty.
Traders should monitor K-League administrative announcements regarding fixture scheduling, weather forecasts for Jeju province in early May, and any team-level disruptions affecting either club's operational capacity. Recent K-League seasons have seen fixture integrity maintained through the spring campaign, with May typically presenting stable scheduling conditions. Any official league communication regarding fixture changes, venue alterations, or postponements would materially shift the probability. Team injury announcements or administrative issues affecting either club's ability to field a squad would also warrant attention, though such factors typically do not prevent fixture occurrence entirely.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$83K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $82K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: