Sports

Trade: Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC - Exact Score

Opened 9 May 2026 · Settles 9 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and Gangwon FC, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC match originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: —
Total Volume: $160
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: $120

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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-0	100% YES	0% NO
Exact Score: 0-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-3	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-2	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Gwangju FC and Gangwon FC will meet in a K-League fixture on 9 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability, indicating that traders have priced in a specific outcome or that liquidity remains concentrated around a single result. This extreme probability typically reflects either very confident market positioning or limited participation across alternative scorelines at this stage.

K-League matches historically produce a wide distribution of final scores, with draws and narrow victories (1–0, 2–1) accounting for roughly 60% of outcomes across seasons. When a market shows 100% implied probability on an exact score days before kickoff, it usually signals either that one result dominates pre-match expectations based on team form and injury news, or that the orderbook lacks sufficient depth to reflect genuine uncertainty. Both Gwangju and Gangwon have published their squad lists and injury reports through official K-League channels; any late withdrawals or tactical shifts announced in the 48 hours before the match could shift trader positioning materially.

Traders should monitor team news releases and official K-League communications for lineup confirmations, managerial changes, or fixture rescheduling announcements. Weather conditions in Gwangju on match day and any recent form trends—particularly goal-scoring patterns and defensive records from the preceding five fixtures—will inform whether the current probability reflects genuine consensus or simply thin liquidity. The settlement window closes at 07:30 UTC on 9 May, allowing only the post-match period for final resolution.

Wikipedia Context

Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC is a South Korean professional football club based in Gwangju that competes in the K League 1, the top tier of South Korean football. They joined the K League in the 2011 season.
Gwangju Uprising
The Gwangju Uprising, also known in South Korea as May 18 Democratization Movement, was a series of student-led demonstrations that took place in Gwangju, South Korea, in May 1980, against the coup of Chun Doo-hwan. The uprising was violently suppressed by the South Korean military with the approval and logistical support of the United States under Carter ad
Gwangju Student Independence Movement
The Gwangju Student Independence Movement, or Gwangju Student Movement, was a protest in Gwangju between October and November 1929 against the Japanese occupation of Korea. It is considered the second-most important Korean independence movement in the period of the Japanese Occupation of Korea, with the March 1st Movement considered the most important rebell
Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology
The Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology (GIST) is a public research university and institute of technology that was established in 1993 by a legislative act of the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea with its primary purpose to advance national science and technology through education, research, and international and industrial cooperation.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$160 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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