Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Kiwoom Heroes and SSG Landers, scheduled for June 4 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. This market will resolve to "SSG Landers" if the SSG Landers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers | 53% YES | 48% NO |
The Kiwoom Heroes face the SSG Landers in a regular-season KBO matchup scheduled for 4 June at 5:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 53% implied probability for a Heroes victory, suggesting near-parity between the two clubs with a marginal lean towards Kiwoom. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity and represents the aggregate assessment of market participants pricing the matchup.
The Heroes and Landers are both competitive mid-table franchises in the 2024 KBO season, with recent head-to-head records providing limited predictive power given the league's balanced competitive structure. Historical matchups between these sides typically resolve within narrow margins, and neither team has demonstrated sustained dominance in direct competition. The current 53–47 split reflects this competitive parity rather than a decisive advantage for either side.
Key variables for traders include starting pitcher announcements, which typically emerge 48 to 72 hours before game time and materially shift market pricing based on recent form and injury status. Weather conditions in Seoul on game day—particularly wind direction affecting fly ball distances at Gocheok Sky Dome—warrant monitoring through Korean meteorological services. Recent roster moves or injury updates from either franchise could trigger repricing; the KBO's official website and Korean sports outlets like Naver Sports remain primary sources for such developments. The settlement window extends to 11 June, allowing adequate time for game completion or postponement resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.koreabaseball.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$105 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 53%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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