Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Hanwha Eagles and Samsung Lions, scheduled for May 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Eagles" if the Hanwha Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Korean Baseball Organisation (KBO) will host a regular season matchup between the Hanwha Eagles and Samsung Lions on 2 May at 4:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, indicating either extreme confidence in one outcome or minimal trading activity establishing a meaningful price discovery mechanism at present. With the settlement window extending to 9 May, traders have a week following the scheduled fixture to assess official KBO results and any potential postponement scenarios.
Historical context for KBO matchups shows that Eagles-Lions contests typically feature competitive play, with neither club holding overwhelming regular-season dominance. The Eagles have experienced roster fluctuations in recent seasons, whilst the Lions maintain consistent competitive depth. Current season standings and recent form will materially influence actual match probability; the 100% reading on Polymarket likely reflects either a data lag or minimal liquidity rather than genuine certainty about the outcome.
Traders should monitor official KBO announcements regarding weather conditions, which frequently affect early-season games in South Korea, and any roster changes or injury updates from either club in the days preceding the fixture. Recent reporting from KBO-affiliated sources and team official statements will clarify starting lineups and pitching assignments. The resolution mechanism permits 50-50 settlement only if the game is cancelled without a make-up fixture or concludes in a tie—outcomes that occur infrequently in KBO play but remain material contingencies given the extended settlement window.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.koreabaseball.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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