Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Hanwha Eagles and Kiwoom Heroes, scheduled for May 14 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Eagles" if the Hanwha Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes | 53% YES | 48% NO |
The Hanwha Eagles face the Kiwoom Heroes in a regular-season KBO matchup scheduled for 14 May at 5:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 53% implied probability for an Eagles victory, suggesting near-parity between the two clubs with a slight lean towards Hanwha. This probability formation reflects real-time trading activity and represents the consensus expectation among market participants as of today.
The Eagles and Heroes have historically been competitive mid-table franchises in the Korean Baseball Organisation, with neither commanding a significant historical advantage over the other. Recent seasons have seen both clubs fluctuate between contention and rebuilding phases. The current 53-47 split suggests traders view this as a genuinely competitive fixture without strong directional conviction, typical of matchups between evenly-matched teams without pronounced home-field or roster advantages.
Key variables for traders to monitor include confirmed lineups and pitching assignments, which typically become finalised 24–48 hours before KBO games. Weather conditions at the venue—temperature and wind patterns significantly affect play in Korean baseball—warrant attention given the early morning ET timing. Any late roster changes, injuries to key players, or managerial decisions announced between now and game time could shift the probability. The settlement window closes 21 May, providing ample time for game completion even if postponement occurs due to weather or scheduling conflicts.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.koreabaseball.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $125 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 53%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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