Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for May 24 at 1:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Tokushima Vortis (-1.5) | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| FC Imabari (-1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Tokushima Vortis (-2.5) | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| FC Imabari (-2.5) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
Tokushima Vortis will face FC Imabari in a J2 League fixture on 24 May 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 AM ET. This represents a mid-season encounter in Japan's second-tier professional football competition, the J2 100 Year Vision League. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 42% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in moderate uncertainty around additional market offerings for this specific match.
J2 League matches typically attract supplementary betting markets when fixtures involve clubs with established supporter bases or historical rivalry elements. Tokushima Vortis and FC Imabari both operate within the Shikoku region, where regional derbies have historically generated elevated trading volumes. The 42% probability sits between typical baseline expectations for secondary markets on mid-table J2 fixtures and higher probabilities seen for marquee matchups; this positioning reflects the clubs' mid-tier status within the league hierarchy rather than flagship fixtures that automatically trigger expanded market offerings.
Traders should monitor official J2 League communications and Polymarket's own market expansion announcements through late May, as additional markets typically materialise 48–72 hours before fixture kickoff. Fixture postponements or scheduling changes would directly affect market settlement mechanics. The settlement window closing on 24 May at 05:00 UTC provides a narrow window post-match for final market resolution, making real-time information flow critical for positions held into the final hours.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tokushima Vortis vs. FC Imabari - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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