Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between Tokushima Vortis and FC Imabari, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tokushima Vortis vs. FC Imabari match originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Tokushima Vortis will face FC Imabari in the J2 League on 24 May 2026. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 50% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the final scoreline. Settlement occurs at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any result not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures 40–60% of probability mass in football exact-score markets depending on league volatility and team form.
J2 League matches historically produce moderate scoring variance. Tokushima Vortis and FC Imabari are mid-table sides with average goal outputs between 1.2 and 1.8 per match across recent seasons. The 50% probability split suggests the market is pricing in roughly equal likelihood for a specific listed outcome versus an unlisted result. This distribution is typical when neither team has pronounced offensive or defensive characteristics that would skew towards high-scoring or low-scoring scenarios. Comparable J2 fixtures between similarly ranked clubs show that 1–1 draws and 1–0 results account for roughly 35–45% of all matches, with remaining probability distributed across other scorelines.
Traders should monitor team news through late May, particularly injury reports affecting key forwards or defensive players. Fixture congestion in the J2 calendar and weather conditions in Tokushima prefecture may influence tactical approach. The settlement window closes 24 May at 05:00 UTC, allowing approximately four hours post-match for official confirmation. No recent announcements have altered either side's squad composition materially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tokushima Vortis vs. FC Imabari - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $443 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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