Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between FC Ryūkyū and Kagoshima United FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Ryūkyū | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (FC Ryūkyū vs. Kagoshima United FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Kagoshima United FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Ryūkyū will host Kagoshima United FC in a J2 League fixture on Sunday, 3 May 2026. The match forms part of the J2 100 Year Vision League season, Japan's second-tier professional football competition. Settlement occurs at 09:00 UTC on the scheduled match date, capturing the full-time result at the Okinawa stadium.
The 0% implied probability reflects minimal order-book activity on Polymarket at present, a common state for fixtures scheduled more than eighteen months ahead. Historical J2 League matches between these clubs show competitive balance; neither side has established decisive dominance in recent seasons. FC Ryūkyū competes from Okinawa's geographic isolation, which historically affects fixture scheduling and squad rotation patterns. Kagoshima United operates from the Kyushu mainland with marginally greater fixture density. Early-season probabilities in J2 markets typically shift sharply once team rosters are finalised and pre-season form becomes visible, usually within three months of the fixture date.
Traders should monitor squad announcements, managerial changes, and injury developments from both clubs during the 2025–26 season. J2 League fixture congestion often intensifies in April and May, potentially affecting player availability. Weather conditions in Okinawa during early May—typhoon season onset—occasionally influence match dynamics. Current order-book depth remains shallow; meaningful probability discovery will likely emerge as the settlement window approaches and seasonal context crystallises.
FC Ryukyu Okinawa is a Japanese professional football club based in Okinawa. The club plays in the J3 League, Japanese third tier of professional football. The team's home stadium is Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, in Okinawa Prefecture, Japan.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Ryūkyū vs. Kagoshima United FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$21K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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