Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between AC Nagano Parceiro and Ventforet Kōfu, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu match originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
AC Nagano Parceiro will face Ventforet Kōfu in a J2 League fixture on 23 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 49% implied probability for the listed exact-score outcomes, with remaining probability distributed across "Any Other Score." This probability distribution is being formed through active trading on Polymarket's order book, where participants are pricing in team form, historical head-to-head records, and seasonal positioning within Japan's second tier.
Exact-score markets in the J2 League typically see significant probability mass concentrated on low-scoring outcomes (0–0, 1–0, 1–1) given the defensive nature of many mid-table fixtures. AC Nagano Parceiro and Ventforet Kōfu have historically produced relatively tight contests; comparable J2 matchups between clubs of similar standing show that single-goal margins and draws account for roughly 65–70% of outcomes. The current 49% probability for listed scores suggests traders are pricing in moderate uncertainty around whether this particular fixture will deviate from typical J2 scoring patterns.
Traders should monitor team news through late May, including injury reports and squad rotation decisions as the season approaches its midpoint. Fixture congestion and weather conditions in the Nagano and Yamanashi prefectures may influence tactical approach. Any official postponement would keep the market open until the rescheduled date, extending the settlement window beyond the current deadline of 23 May 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $256 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: