Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for May 2 at 5:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fujieda MYFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
AC Nagano Parceiro will face Fujieda MYFC in a J2 League fixture on 2 May 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. This represents one of several secondary markets available for the match, allowing traders to position on outcomes beyond the standard match result. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in this particular market or a consensus view among early traders that the specified outcome carries negligible likelihood.
J2 League matches typically generate modest trading volumes on prediction markets compared to top-tier competitions, particularly for derivative markets beyond the primary result. Historical precedent suggests that secondary markets for lower-division Japanese football often remain illiquid until closer to fixture dates, with probabilities shifting substantially as match day approaches and information asymmetries narrow. The current zero probability may simply indicate an absence of backing orders rather than a definitive market assessment.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news from both clubs in the weeks preceding 2 May, including injury reports and managerial statements that could shift expectations around the underlying match outcome. Fixture congestion in the J2 League schedule and any mid-season form changes will influence the secondary market's development. The settlement window closes at 09:00 GMT on 2 May, providing a narrow window for trading activity once the match concludes and outcomes are verified.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Fujieda MYFC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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