Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game between Yokohama F·Marinos and Shimizu S-Pulse, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Yokohama F·Marinos | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| Draw | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 23% YES | 77% NO |
Yokohama F·Marinos will host Shimizu S-Pulse on 6 June 2026 in a J1 League fixture, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline. The 31% implied probability for a Marinos halftime win reflects current order-book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the home side's advantage at roughly one-in-three odds for the opening 45 minutes. This probability sits between typical draw expectations (which often trade in the 25–35% range for halftime markets) and away-win scenarios in Japanese football.
Halftime markets in J1 League fixtures historically show home teams converting their advantage into early leads roughly 35–40% of the time, with draws accounting for 30–35% and away teams scoring first in 25–30% of matches. Yokohama's recent form and home record will be material; the club has traditionally maintained stronger first-half discipline than many J1 counterparts. Shimizu, conversely, has historically been a second-half adjustment side, which could suppress their halftime scoring probability relative to full-match expectations.
Traders should monitor team news releases through early June, particularly injury updates to key attacking players for either side. Yokohama's midfield availability and Shimizu's defensive personnel will influence early-game tempo. Weather conditions at kickoff—scheduled for 4:00 AM ET (17:00 JST)—may affect ball movement and pressing intensity in the opening period. Recent fixture congestion in the J1 calendar could also shape starting lineups and tactical conservatism during the first half.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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