Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game between Tōkyō Verdy and Yokohama F·Marinos, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos match originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Tōkyō Verdy and Yokohama F·Marinos will contest a J1 League fixture on 24 May 2026. The market resolves on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Currently, the order book implies a 50% probability for the listed outcome, with "Any Other Score" capturing all unlisted results. The settlement window closes at 05:00 UTC on 24 May, shortly after the scheduled 06:00 UTC kick-off.
Exact-score markets in Japanese football typically see probability mass concentrated on the most common outcomes: 1–1, 1–0, 2–1 and 0–0 draws account for roughly 40–50% of J1 matches historically. Verdy and Marinos have met 28 times in league play, with Marinos holding a slight edge in recent seasons. The 50% implied probability suggests the market is pricing meaningful uncertainty around which specific scoreline will occur, rather than confidence in any single result. This reflects the inherent difficulty of forecasting exact scores in football, where even well-matched sides produce varied outcomes.
Team form, injury status and tactical setup will be critical inputs as May approaches. Verdy finished 2025 mid-table, whilst Marinos typically compete for the title. Recent squad announcements, pre-season friendlies and any late injuries to key players should be monitored through May. Weather conditions at the venue and any fixture congestion affecting either side's preparation may also shift the probability distribution across specific scorelines in the final days before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $410 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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