Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for May 23 at 6:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5) | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5) | 30% YES | 70% NO |
| Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 29% YES | 71% NO |
Kyōto Sanga FC will face V-Varen Nagasaki on 23 May 2026 in a J1 League fixture as part of the 100 Year Vision League campaign. The match kicks off at 6:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 10:00 AM ET the same day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 36% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in meaningful uncertainty around secondary market developments or match-related derivatives tied to this fixture.
Kyōto Sanga has competed in Japan's top division since 2022 following promotion, whilst V-Varen Nagasaki returned to J1 in 2023 after a spell in the second tier. Historical matchups between mid-table J1 sides show volatile pricing when additional markets are introduced late in a trading window, particularly when the primary fixture carries tactical or injury-related unknowns. The 36% probability sits below the midpoint, indicating the order book is currently weighted towards the alternative outcome, though this can shift materially as match day approaches.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official J1 League communications through the settlement window. Injury announcements, tactical shifts, or weather conditions affecting the early morning kick-off time could trigger repricing. Recent fixture data from comparable J1 matchdays shows that secondary market activity often correlates with starting lineups confirmed 24–48 hours before kick-off. The settlement window closes at 10:00 AM ET on match day, leaving minimal time for post-kick-off adjustments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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