Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game between FC Tōkyō and Tōkyō Verdy, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Tōkyō vs. Tōkyō Verdy match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Tōkyō and Tōkyō Verdy will meet in a J1 League fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 0% implied probability reflects the current Polymarket order book, where no traders have yet committed capital to any specific scoreline outcome. This absence of liquidity is typical for matches scheduled nearly eighteen months ahead, particularly in lower-profile domestic derbies where historical precedent and team form remain highly uncertain.
Exact-score markets in Japanese football have historically shown wide probability distributions across plausible outcomes, with 1–1 draws and narrow home victories (1–0, 2–1) typically capturing 40–50% of combined probability across all listed options. FC Tōkyō and Tōkyō Verdy's head-to-head record and seasonal positioning will become relevant only as the fixture approaches; current squad composition, managerial changes, and injury status remain unknowable at this distance. The J1 League's May scheduling typically occurs mid-season, when form stabilises and team trajectories become clearer.
Traders should monitor both clubs' league performance and any structural changes to the J1 competition format through 2026. Fixture congestion, continental competition participation, and managerial turnover at either club could meaningfully shift expected scorelines. As the match date approaches, team news and recent results will provide concrete data for probability reassessment. The settlement window closes immediately after the final whistle, leaving no opportunity for late-breaking information to influence pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Tōkyō vs. Tōkyō Verdy - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$753 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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