Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Simeon Stankovic and Alexander Vasilev in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 6:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simeon Stankovic' if Simeon Stankovic advances against Alexander Vasilev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Vasilev' if Alexander Vasilev advances against Simeon Stankovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Simeon Stankovic vs Alexander Vasilev | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Simeon Stankovic and Alexander Vasilev are scheduled to compete in an ITF Men's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja on 30 May 2026. The match forms part of the lower-tier professional tennis circuit, where both players are developing their rankings and match experience. The settlement window closes on 6 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for completion or cancellation protocols.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in this specific match pairing or a technical artefact of the market's opening state. ITF-level matches between relatively unknown players typically attract limited trading volume, particularly when scheduled months in advance. Historical precedent suggests that such markets often remain illiquid until closer to the event date, when player form, injury updates, and draw confirmations become material. The absence of recent news coverage or betting consensus on either player makes the current probability reading uninformative rather than predictive.
Traders monitoring this market should track official ITF tournament confirmations, player withdrawal announcements, and any schedule changes as May 2026 approaches. Injury reports and recent match results for both players will become relevant catalysts in the weeks preceding the fixture. The resolution mechanism's 50-50 tie provision for cancellations or incomplete matches creates additional uncertainty beyond standard match outcome risk, particularly given the lower-tier tournament status where scheduling disruptions occur more frequently than on the ATP circuit.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Simeon Stankovic vs Alexander Vasilev" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$76 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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