Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Emily Sartz-Lunde and Irina Khayndrava in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emily Sartz-Lunde' if Emily Sartz-Lunde advances against Irina Khayndrava. This market will resolve to 'Irina Khayndrava' if Irina Khayndrava advances against Emily Sartz-Lunde. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Irina Khayndrava | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Emily Sartz-Lunde faces Irina Khaindrava in the ITF Women's tournament in Kayseri on 26 May 2026. The match is scheduled for 4:30 AM ET, with the settlement window closing on 2 June at 08:30 UTC. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating the market is pricing this as a near-certain event to occur and produce a winner.
ITF Women's tournaments at this level typically proceed as scheduled unless weather or player injury intervenes. Historical resolution patterns for comparable ITF matches show that cancellations or no-contests remain uncommon, occurring in fewer than 5% of fixtures. The 100% probability on Polymarket's book suggests traders are confident the match will be played and completed within the seven-day buffer before settlement, with no expectation of delays or administrative complications that would trigger the 50-50 tie-break clause.
Traders monitoring this market should track official ITF Kayseri tournament updates and player injury reports through late May. Weather forecasts for Kayseri in late May are relevant, though indoor courts reduce this risk. Any withdrawal announcements from either player would be the primary catalyst for repricing. The tight settlement window—only seven days after the scheduled date—means delays beyond standard tournament scheduling would push resolution toward the tie-break outcome. Current market depth on Polymarket's order book appears thin at the extreme probability, suggesting limited liquidity for contrarian positions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Irina Khayndrava" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$44 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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