Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Lorusso and Gabriele Piraino in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Lorusso' if Lorenzo Lorusso advances against Gabriele Piraino. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Piraino' if Gabriele Piraino advances against Lorenzo Lorusso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| ITF Caltanissetta: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Gabriele Piraino | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Lorenzo Lorusso and Gabriele Piraino are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Caltanissetta tournament on 2 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split in implied probability, suggesting traders view this as a genuine toss-up based on available information about player form, head-to-head record, and surface conditions in Sicily.
Both Lorusso and Piraino operate within Italy's domestic tennis ecosystem, competing regularly on the ITF Men's circuit where draws are smaller and player familiarity higher than ATP events. Historical ITF matchups between similarly ranked Italian players typically show modest predictive power from recent form alone; surface preference, travel fatigue, and tournament context often override ranking differentials. The 50-50 pricing reflects genuine uncertainty rather than balanced betting interest, common in niche tennis markets where information asymmetries persist.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament announcements for any schedule changes or withdrawals in the days preceding 2 June, as lower-tier events occasionally see late scratches. Court surface confirmation and weather forecasts for Caltanissetta will matter for tactical preparation. The settlement window closes 9 June at 10:00 UTC, allowing a seven-day buffer for delayed completion; any match cancellation or failure to produce a winner within that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Gabriele Piraino" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$84 in lifetime turnover and $1 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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