Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Carles Cordoba in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Carles Cordoba. This market will resolve to 'Carles Cordoba' if Carles Cordoba advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sergi Fita Juan vs Carles Cordoba | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Sergi Fita Juan and Carles Cordoba are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja on 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 48% implied probability for Fita Juan's advancement, suggesting near-parity between the two competitors in the eyes of active traders. Settlement occurs seven days after the scheduled match date, with any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome defaulting to 50-50 resolution.
Both players compete on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on surface conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records. Fita Juan and Cordoba's relative rankings within the ITF ecosystem—typically players ranked between 400–800 globally—mean that minor variations in preparation and injury status can shift win probabilities substantially. Historical ITF matches at Kursumlijska Banja, a clay-court venue in Serbia, have favoured players with strong baseline consistency and clay-court experience. The near-even split in current odds suggests the market perceives limited information advantage regarding either player's recent conditioning or tactical matchup dynamics.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 4 June, as ITF events occasionally see last-minute changes. Weather conditions at the Serbian venue—particularly rain delays that could push matches beyond the seven-day settlement window—represent a material tail risk. Recent ITF results for both players, published on the ATP's Challenger and ITF databases, will provide the most reliable form indicators as the match date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sergi Fita Juan vs Carles Cordoba" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$302 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $302 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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