Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Gagliardo and Nikola Jovic in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Gagliardo' if Lorenzo Gagliardo advances against Nikola Jovic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Jovic' if Nikola Jovic advances against Lorenzo Gagliardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Nikola Jovic | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lorenzo Gagliardo and Nikola Jovic are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja on 2 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current Polymarket order book is pricing this match at 100% implied probability for Gagliardo's advancement, suggesting either extremely confident backing of the Italian player or minimal liquidity depth at present price levels.
ITF tournaments at this tier frequently feature significant volatility in match outcomes, with upsets occurring at higher rates than ATP-level fixtures. Historical data on comparable ITF events shows that when one player commands such overwhelming implied probability, it typically reflects either a substantial ranking or seeding advantage, recent form differential, or simply thin order book conditions rather than genuine certainty of outcome. Jovic's baseline probability of advancement in a two-player match should theoretically floor near 20–30% given standard competitive distributions, making the current 0% ask price noteworthy.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and player withdrawal announcements through the ITF website and ATP media channels in the weeks preceding the match. Surface conditions at the Serbian venue, recent head-to-head records if available, and any late injury reports could shift the underlying match dynamics. The seven-day delay threshold for resolution creates additional settlement risk; weather disruptions or scheduling conflicts at smaller tournaments occasionally force postponements beyond this window, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Nikola Jovic" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$279 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $219 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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