Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Denolly and Felix Balshaw in the ITF Men Deauville, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Denolly' if Corentin Denolly advances against Felix Balshaw. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Corentin Denolly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Deauville: Corentin Denolly vs Felix Balshaw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Corentin Denolly and Felix Balshaw are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Deauville tournament on 24 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 0% implied probability for Denolly's victory, suggesting traders are either heavily favouring Balshaw or pricing in significant uncertainty about match completion.
ITF Deauville matches historically attract modest liquidity on prediction markets given the players' relatively modest professional profiles and the tournament's secondary status within professional tennis. The 0% probability reading likely reflects either a thin order book with minimal backing for Denolly, or traders' assessment that Balshaw represents a substantially stronger competitor. Without recent ATP or ITF ranking data readily available, the current pricing may be anchored to previous head-to-head records or relative tournament seeding rather than updated form assessments.
Traders should monitor ITF official announcements regarding player withdrawals, which remain common at lower-tier events as players prioritise higher-ranked tournaments or manage injury concerns. The settlement window extends to 31 May, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date to accommodate potential rescheduling. Weather conditions at the Deauville clay courts and any last-minute player fitness updates would constitute material catalysts affecting match completion probability, though such information typically emerges closer to the scheduled fixture date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Deauville: Corentin Denolly vs Felix Balshaw" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$344 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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