Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Indian Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Jamshedpur FC and Bengaluru FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Jamshedpur FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Jamshedpur FC vs. Bengaluru FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Bengaluru FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Jamshedpur FC will face Bengaluru FC in an Indian Super League fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders are pricing this event with extreme scepticism or reflecting a technical market condition where no bids exist at any price level above zero.
Historically, ISL matches between these two clubs have produced competitive results, with neither side dominating the fixture. Bengaluru FC has generally maintained stronger league positions in recent seasons, though Jamshedpur FC has shown capacity for upset performances. The 0% reading on Polymarket's order book is unusual for a live sporting event and typically indicates either a liquidity gap—where no trader has posted a buy order—or a consensus that the event carries negligible probability. In comparable ISL markets, such extreme readings often resolve as the event approaches and fresh capital enters the book.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates in the weeks preceding the match, particularly regarding key players for either side. The ISL's fixture schedule and any mid-season form shifts will influence how the probability shifts from its current floor. Bengaluru FC's recent league standing and Jamshedpur FC's squad composition closer to May will provide material signals. The settlement window closes on 9 May at 14:00 UTC, giving traders a defined timeframe to reassess the market as match day approaches and liquidity potentially improves.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Jamshedpur FC vs. Bengaluru FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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