Trade: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Kazincbarcikai SC - Halftime Result
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Hungary NB I game between Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC and Kazincbarcikai SC, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $1K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Draw | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Kazincbarcikai SC | 54% YES | 47% NO |
Market context
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC will host Kazincbarcikai SC in Hungary's top division on 15 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline. The 73% implied probability for a home result at the interval reflects current order-book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing in a moderately strong likelihood of either a Nyiregyhaza goal or scoreless draw within the opening 45 minutes.
Halftime markets in Hungarian NB I fixtures typically correlate with home-ground advantage and early-season momentum. Nyiregyhaza's historical performance in opening-half play, combined with Kazincbarcikai's defensive record in away matches, provides a baseline for assessing whether 73% represents fair value or overpricing of the home outcome. Comparable fixtures between mid-table and lower-ranked sides in the NB I suggest that halftime home-result probabilities cluster between 60–75%, depending on recent form and squad stability.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury updates and any tactical adjustments announced by either manager in the days before kick-off. Kazincbarcikai's recent away-match results and Nyiregyhaza's home conversion rates in the weeks preceding the fixture will shape late-market movement. Weather conditions and pitch state on match day can also influence early-game tempo, though such variables typically emerge only hours before the 11:45 AM ET start. The settlement window closes at 15:45 UTC, allowing settlement shortly after the halftime whistle.
Wikipedia Context
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Nyíregyháza Spartacus FCNyíregyháza Spartacus is a professional football club from Nyíregyháza, Hungary. Formed in 1928, it has had brief stints in the Nemzeti Bajnokság III. It set to play in the Nemzeti Bajnokság I from 2024–25 after promotion from Nemzeti Bajnokság II in 2023–24. The team is locally referred to by its monicker, Szpari. Its games take place in Városi Stadion, in
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlsz.hu/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Kazincbarcikai SC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlsz.hu/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Kazincbarcikai SC - Halftime Result"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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