Sports

Trade: NK Slaven Belupo vs. HNK Gorica - Exact Score

Opened 9 May 2026 · Settles 10 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Prva Liga game between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NK Slaven Belupo vs. HNK Gorica match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-0	100% YES	0% NO
Exact Score: 0-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-3	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-2	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

NK Slaven Belupo will face HNK Gorica in a Prva Liga fixture on 10 May 2026, with the match kicking off at 12:15 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability across all listed scorelines, indicating either minimal liquidity in early trading or that no specific outcome has attracted backing yet. This is typical for matches several months out, where price discovery remains incomplete.

Exact-score markets in football typically reflect the mathematical improbability of predicting precise results; even favoured outcomes rarely exceed 10–15% implied probability. Historical data from comparable Prva Liga matches shows that draws and narrow victories (1–0, 2–1) account for roughly 60% of outcomes, whilst high-scoring results remain outliers. The current flat probability distribution suggests traders are waiting for team news, injury updates, or seasonal form data closer to the fixture date before committing capital.

Key catalysts include both clubs' final league positioning, which determines their competitive motivation heading into May, and any squad changes during the winter transfer window. Recent fixture congestion in the Prva Liga schedule may affect player availability and fatigue levels. Traders should monitor team announcements regarding injuries to key players and any tactical shifts in the weeks preceding the match, as these typically drive repricing in exact-score markets once liquidity begins to form.

Wikipedia Context

NK Slaven Belupo
Nogometni klub Slaven Belupo, often referred to as Slaven Belupo, is a Croatian professional football club based in the city of Koprivnica in the north of Croatia. They play their home matches at Gradski Stadion in Koprivnica. They play in the Croatian Football League.
NK Slaven Živinice
Nogometni klub Slaven Živinice, commonly known as Slaven Živinice or just Slaven is a professional association football club based in the city of Živinice that is situated in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
NK Slavonija Požega
NK Slavonija is a Croatian football club based in the town of Požega in Slavonia.
NK Slavija Vevče
Nogometni klub Slavija Vevče, commonly referred to as NK Slavija Vevče or simply Slavija, was a Slovenian football club based in Vevče. The club was formed in 1921 and played in the Slovenian PrvaLiga in the 1994–95 season, after they replaced Svoboda before the start of the competition. They were sponsored by local printing company SET for most of the time,

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hnl.hr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "NK Slaven Belupo vs. HNK Gorica - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

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Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://hnl.hr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "NK Slaven Belupo vs. HNK Gorica - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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