Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between US Boulogne Côte d'Opale and FC Annecy.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Annecy | 100% YES | 0% NO |
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale will face FC Annecy in a Ligue 2 fixture on Saturday, 2 May 2026. The 0% implied probability currently reflected on Polymarket's order book suggests traders are pricing this outcome with near-zero conviction, likely indicating either minimal liquidity at the current ask or a consensus view that this specific match result carries negligible probability under the market's settlement criteria.
Ligue 2 matches between mid-table or lower-ranked sides typically exhibit wider probability distributions than top-flight fixtures, given greater variance in team form and fewer historical data points for direct comparison. Boulogne and Annecy have occupied different tiers of French football's second division in recent seasons, with historical head-to-head records and seasonal positioning affecting baseline expectations. The 0% reading on Polymarket often reflects sparse order-book depth rather than genuine certainty; similar low-probability outcomes in lesser-watched European leagues frequently see modest repositioning once trading volume increases closer to match day.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news in April 2026, including injury announcements and league standings as the season concludes. Fixture congestion, European competition involvement (if applicable), and managerial changes in the weeks preceding 2 May could shift relative team strength. French football media outlets and official Ligue 2 communications will provide relevant updates. The settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC on match day, giving traders a defined deadline to adjust positions based on pre-match developments and any last-minute tactical shifts.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue2.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue2.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: