Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ligue 2 game between Red Star FC and Montpellier HSC, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Red Star FC vs. Montpellier HSC match originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Red Star FC and Montpellier HSC will contest a Ligue 2 fixture on 9 May 2026, with settlement contingent on the 90-minute result. The 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects the market's current assessment that no single exact scoreline commands sufficient backing to register measurable trading volume at this remove from the match. With settlement occurring post-match at 18:00 UTC, the market structure isolates regulation time outcomes, excluding extra time and penalties, which narrows the resolution criteria but expands the "Any Other Score" catch-all category.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in lower-tier European football typically exhibit dispersed probability distributions, with no single outcome exceeding 8–12% implied probability even as match day approaches. Ligue 2 fixtures between mid-table and promotion-contending sides have produced 1–1 and 2–1 results at elevated frequencies relative to other scorelines, though sample sizes remain modest. The current zero reading on Polymarket likely indicates minimal order placement rather than genuine market consensus that all discrete outcomes are impossible.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly regarding key attacking personnel at both clubs. Montpellier's league position and Red Star's form trajectory will influence pre-match volatility. Fixture congestion in late April and early May could affect squad rotation decisions. Any official postponement announcements would extend the settlement window, though cancellation would trigger resolution to "Any Other Score" per the stated terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue2.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Red Star FC vs. Montpellier HSC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue2.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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