Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ligue 2 game, scheduled for May 2 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Le Mans FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Stade de Reims (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Le Mans FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Stade de Reims (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Le Mans FC will travel to face Stade de Reims in a Ligue 2 fixture on 2 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 ET. The match falls late in the French second-division season, a period when promotion and relegation battles typically intensify. Polymarket's order book currently reflects a 0% implied probability for this particular market outcome, suggesting either minimal trading activity or strong consensus against the proposition among active participants. The settlement window closes at 18:00 ET on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kick-off for final order placement before resolution.
Historical context for Ligue 2 fixtures shows considerable volatility in late-season encounters, particularly when teams remain in contention for promotion or face relegation pressure. Le Mans and Reims have occupied varying positions in the division across recent campaigns, with their relative form and injury status typically driving market movements in the weeks preceding fixture day. Current odds formation reflects available team news, recent results, and any managerial changes announced prior to trading.
Traders should monitor official team announcements regarding squad availability, particularly suspensions or significant injuries that emerge between now and match day. Fixture congestion in late April and early May often affects rotation decisions and player fatigue levels. Any changes to either club's promotion or relegation prospects—determined by results elsewhere in the division—may shift market sentiment materially. Ligue 2 fixture schedules and team news typically flow through official league channels and club statements rather than centralised sports news outlets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue2.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Le Mans FC vs. Stade de Reims - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue2.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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