Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ligue 2 game, scheduled for May 9 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| FC Annecy (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Rodez Aveyron Football (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Annecy (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Rodez Aveyron Football (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
FC Annecy and Rodez Aveyron will meet in Ligue 2 on 9 May 2026 at 14:00 ET. This fixture falls in the final weeks of the French second-tier season, when promotion and relegation stakes typically intensify. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity on this particular market variant or a structural absence of liquidity at current price levels. With settlement nearly two years away, the book may be thinly populated relative to more prominent match outcomes.
Ligue 2 fixtures between mid-table or lower-ranked clubs often see sparse derivative markets compared to Ligue 1 contests. Historical precedent suggests that niche football markets—particularly those tied to specific match conditions rather than outright results—accumulate meaningful volume only as the event date approaches. The current zero probability is consistent with a market awaiting initial price discovery rather than reflecting genuine trader conviction about the underlying event.
Traders monitoring this market should track both clubs' league positions and injury reports as May approaches. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season, managerial changes, and promotion or relegation scenarios could shift team priorities and squad rotation decisions. Polymarket's order book will likely see activity spike in the weeks immediately preceding the match, when traders have clearer information on final standings and team motivation. Early positioning at extreme probabilities may prove inefficient relative to prices available closer to kickoff.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue2.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Annecy vs. Rodez Aveyron Football - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue2.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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