Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ligue 2 game, scheduled for May 2 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Amiens SC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Red Star FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Amiens SC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Red Star FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Amiens SC and Red Star FC are scheduled to meet in Ligue 2 on 2 May 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This fixture falls within the final weeks of the 2025–26 Ligue 2 season, a period when promotion and relegation outcomes typically crystallise. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity or consensus that this particular market outcome carries negligible likelihood given present circumstances. Order book depth and spreads will tighten as the match date approaches and more traders position ahead of the settlement window closing on 2 May at 18:00 UTC.
Ligue 2's competitive structure means late-season matches between mid-table or lower-ranked sides often attract limited speculative interest unless direct promotion or survival implications exist. Historical patterns show that markets for lower-profile French second-division fixtures typically see sparse liquidity until 48–72 hours before kickoff, when injury reports and team news crystallise. Traders should monitor official Ligue 2 fixture confirmations and any schedule changes, as French football occasionally experiences fixture postponements due to weather or administrative factors.
Key catalysts include team sheet announcements, managerial statements regarding squad rotation, and any late-season injury developments affecting either side. Current league standings and the stakes for both clubs—whether either requires points for promotion or faces relegation pressure—will determine whether this market gains traction. Polymarket's order book will likely remain thin until material information surfaces closer to the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue2.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Amiens SC vs. Red Star FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue2.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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