Sports

Trade: AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO - Halftime Result

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between AJ Auxerre and Angers SCO, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
—
Total Volume
$1K
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$757
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

AJ Auxerre 100% YES0% NO
Draw 0% YES100% NO
Angers SCO 0% YES100% NO

Market context

AJ Auxerre will host Angers SCO at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps on 3 May 2026 in a Ligue 1 fixture. The halftime result market settles on the outcome after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: Auxerre win, draw, or Angers win. Settlement occurs at 15:15 UTC, approximately 90 minutes after kickoff at 13:15 UTC.

The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating either extreme confidence in one outcome or illiquidity in the market structure. Historical halftime markets in French top-flight football show that home advantage typically carries a 45–55% probability of a home lead at the interval, with draws accounting for roughly 25–30% of halftime results. Auxerre's home record and Angers' away performance in the 2025–26 season will be material anchors for any meaningful price discovery once liquidity enters the book.

Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the match, particularly injury confirmations or tactical shifts that might affect early-game intensity. Auxerre's recent form and whether either side enters the fixture with specific tactical instructions—such as a cautious approach from Angers—could influence the pace and structure of the opening 45 minutes. Weather conditions at kickoff and any late squad changes announced on match day will also shape how the first half unfolds. The settlement window's precision at 15:15 UTC leaves minimal margin for administrative delay.

Wikipedia Context

  • AJ Auxerre
    AJ Auxerre

    Association de la Jeunesse Auxerroise, commonly known as AJ Auxerre or by the abbreviation AJA, is a French professional football club based in Auxerre, Bourgogne-Franche-Comté, France. The club currently competes in Ligue 1, the top division of French football. Auxerre plays its home matches at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, on the banks of the Yonne River.

  • AJ Auxerre (women)
    AJ Auxerre (women)

    Association de la Jeunesse Auxerroise, commonly known as AJ Auxerre or just Auxerre, is a French professional women's football club based in the commune of Auxerre in Bourgogne-Franche-Comté. It serves as the women's section of its Ligue 1 namesake and competes in the Seconde Ligue – the second tier of the French league system.

  • Auxerre
    Auxerre

    Auxerre is the capital (prefecture) of the Yonne department and the fourth-largest city in the Burgundy historical region southeast of Paris. Auxerre's population today is about 35,000; the urban area comprises roughly 111,000 inhabitants. Residents of Auxerre are referred to as Auxerrois.

  • Auxerre Cathedral
    Auxerre Cathedral

    Auxerre Cathedral is a Roman Catholic church, dedicated to Saint Stephen, located in Auxerre, Burgundy, France. It was constructed between the 13th and 16th centuries, on the site of a Romanesque cathedral from the 11th century, whose crypt is found underneath the cathedral. It is known for 11th century Carolingian frescoes found in the crypt, and for its la

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO - Halftime Result"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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