Trade: Wales vs. Ghana - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Wales and Ghana, scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wales vs. Ghana match originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $87
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- —
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Wales and Ghana will meet in an international friendly on 2 June 2026, with the market settling on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 50% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects substantial uncertainty about whether the match will produce one of the explicitly listed scorelines versus an "Any Other Score" outcome. This split suggests traders are pricing in genuine difficulty in predicting the precise margin, rather than favouring any single result.
Historical friendly matches between nations of comparable strength typically see a wide distribution of final scores, with exact-score markets rarely concentrating probability heavily on any single outcome. Wales and Ghana have not met frequently in recent years, limiting direct precedent. The 50% split between a specific listed score and "Any Other Score" is consistent with how prediction markets typically price exact-score events when team form, squad composition and tactical setup remain uncertain months ahead of fixture.
Key variables will emerge as the June fixture approaches. Team news regarding injuries and squad selection—particularly whether either nation rests players ahead of subsequent competitive fixtures—will influence scoring patterns. The timing of any official squad announcements and recent competitive form in qualifying campaigns or continental tournaments will provide concrete data for position reassessment. Friendly matches often feature rotated lineups, which can increase volatility in scoring outcomes and shift the probability distribution away from high-scoring or low-scoring scenarios.
Wikipedia Context
-
Wa West (Ghana parliament constituency)Wa West is one of the constituencies represented in the Parliament of Ghana. It elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election. Peter Lanchene Toobu is the member of parliament for the constituency. Wa West is located in the Wa West district of the Upper West Region of Ghana.
-
Water supply and sanitation in GhanaThe water supply and sanitation sector in Ghana is a sector that is in charge of the supply of healthy water and also improves the sanitation of water bodies in the country.
-
Cetacean strandings in GhanaCetacean strandings in Ghana appear to be becoming more common. Whales washing ashore may be due to ship strike, population dynamics, or an increase in human coverage and reporting. There are at least 28 species of cetaceans — seven baleen whales and 21 toothed whales — in the Gulf of Guinea, of which Ghana’s coast covers 550 km from Aflao to Axim. Scientifi
-
Wali language (Gur)
Wali is a Mabia or Gur language of Ghana that is spoken mainly in and nearby the town of Wa, the capital town of the Upper West Region, Ghana. In the Upper West Region, there are two predominant ethnic groups, the Mole Dagbon (75.7%) and the Grusi (18.4%). The Wala (16.3%) of the Mole Dagbon and the Sissala (16%) of the Grusi are the major subgroupings in th
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Wales vs. Ghana - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $87 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Wales vs. Ghana - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: