Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 10 at 3:45 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Portugal (-1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Nigeria (-1.5) | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Portugal (-2.5) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Nigeria (-2.5) | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 89% YES | 11% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% YES | 23% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 35% YES | 65% NO |
Portugal and Nigeria are scheduled to contest a FIFA International Friendly on 10 June 2026 at 3:45 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 46% implied probability for additional markets being created around this fixture, with pricing formed across Polymarket's order book as traders position ahead of the settlement window closing on 10 June at 19:45 UTC.
International friendlies in the June window typically attract moderate liquidity on prediction markets, particularly when they involve established national teams. Portugal's recent fixture history shows consistent market depth for their matches, whilst Nigeria's participation in high-profile friendlies has generated variable trading interest depending on opponent profile and timing relative to continental tournaments. The 46% probability suggests the market is pricing meaningful uncertainty about whether supplementary markets will materialise—a reflection of how platform operators typically respond to fixture demand and existing market coverage.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations and any official announcements regarding market expansion from Polymarket itself, as these directly determine settlement outcomes. The proximity of this friendly to the 2026 World Cup qualification window may influence whether additional betting angles are deemed commercially viable. Team news regarding squad availability and injury status, typically released in the week preceding international fixtures, could shift trader expectations about market creation if either side announces significant absences that alter competitive narrative.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Portugal vs. Nigeria - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10 in lifetime turnover and $831 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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