Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 3 at 2:45 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Netherlands (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Algeria (-1.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Netherlands (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Algeria (-2.5) | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
The Netherlands and Algeria are scheduled to meet in an international friendly on 3 June 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices the proposition for additional markets at 43% implied probability, reflecting moderate conviction that supplementary betting instruments will be created around this fixture. The depth and composition of bids and asks suggest traders are split on whether secondary markets—such as goal-scorer props, corner totals, or half-time outcomes—will materialise before settlement.
Friendly matches between established European and African sides have historically generated modest secondary-market activity, particularly when scheduled outside major tournament windows. The Netherlands-Algeria pairing carries less commercial weight than fixtures involving top-four nations, yet friendlies involving established federations typically do attract derivative markets if the primary match garners sufficient attention. Recent comparable fixtures in the June international window have seen mixed results: some spawned full market suites within 48 hours of confirmation, whilst others remained limited to match-result and total-goals instruments only.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation from both federations and any scheduling changes that might affect broadcast reach or audience size. The settlement window closes 3 June at 18:45 UTC, leaving a narrow window post-match for market creation. Polymarket's historical practice with friendly fixtures suggests that market expansion depends partly on early liquidity signals and whether the primary match attracts sufficient volume to justify operational costs for additional instruments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Netherlands vs. Algeria - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: