Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 7 at 9:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Liechtenstein (-1.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Cyprus (-1.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Liechtenstein (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Cyprus (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Liechtenstein and Cyprus are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market currently prices the proposition at 41% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting trader expectations around additional betting markets becoming available for this fixture. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on match day, giving traders a narrow window to assess whether supplementary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or player performance props—will be listed before kick-off.
Historically, friendly matches between lower-ranked nations generate modest liquidity and sporadic market expansion compared to competitive fixtures. Liechtenstein (FIFA ranking 196) and Cyprus (ranking 116) represent a pairing unlikely to attract major sportsbook attention, which constrains the probability of extensive market proliferation. Comparable friendlies involving nations outside the top 50 have seen limited secondary market creation, though regional European fixtures occasionally warrant additional offerings from platforms seeking to capture niche trading interest.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's platform announcements and the fixture's proximity to major tournaments or qualifying campaigns, which could influence whether additional markets justify listing. UEFA calendar positioning and any late fixture changes would affect settlement conditions. The 41% probability reflects genuine uncertainty: whilst some traders expect baseline market expansion, others assess the commercial case for Cyprus–Liechtenstein props as marginal relative to more prominent friendlies scheduled that week.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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