Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Liechtenstein and Cyprus, scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus match originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Liechtenstein and Cyprus will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June 2026, with the market settling on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders are pricing meaningful uncertainty around whether the match will produce one of the explicitly listed scorelines versus resolving to "Any Other Score." This even split indicates the book is treating the listed outcomes as collectively plausible but fragmented across multiple possibilities.
Both nations occupy the lower tiers of international football rankings, with Liechtenstein ranked 196th and Cyprus 120th by FIFA as of recent assessments. Historically, matches between teams of disparate strength levels produce varied results; Cyprus has shown capacity to compete in friendlies despite its ranking, whilst Liechtenstein typically struggles in competitive fixtures. The 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book reflects this unpredictability—low-ranked sides generate wider outcome distributions, making exact-score markets inherently dispersed across many possibilities rather than concentrated on a single result.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and team news closer to the fixture date, particularly injury updates for key players on either side. Friendly matches occasionally see late cancellations or rescheduling due to fixture congestion or administrative changes, though the settlement window remains open until completion if postponed. Recent UEFA and FIFA scheduling patterns suggest mid-week friendlies in June typically proceed as scheduled unless extraordinary circumstances arise.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $82 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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